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Graphic of a globe resting on a grassy ledge representing socially responsible investments

ESG risks cannot be ignored

By | Investments

According to scientists, July may well have been the warmest month on record, when measuring global temperatures. Scorching heat in Southern Europe and North America has led to the United Nations issuing dire warnings on the impact of climate change. As awareness of the issue becomes more widespread, an increasing number of investors are keen to adopt an investment approach that includes non-financial considerations, such as the ability for their portfolio to make a positive contribution to society and the environment.

 

What is Socially Responsible Investment?

Socially Responsible Investment (SRI) strategies have become increasingly popular since they were first developed in the 1970s. According to the Sustainable Investment Forum, of the USD $66.6 trillion of investment assets managed in the US at the end of 2021, USD $8.4 trillion – or just under 13% – were invested through a sustainable investment strategy. Over time, the range of options open to investors who are keen to take a socially responsible approach has increased, with both active and passive strategies covering Equities and fixed income investments now available.

SRI investment can take many forms, depending on how strict an approach an investor wishes to take. It is, however, important to bear in mind that considering a very limited investment universe, will reduce the ability to diversify the portfolio appropriately. One investment approach is to look at including investments that aim to make a positive impact, and tries to include, rather than exclude, companies that meet this criterion. Alternatively, an investor who wants to take a more rigorous approach may look to set high standards for inclusion and disregard many opportunities on SRI grounds.

 

Our approach to SRI

At FAS, we are well-placed to cater for investors who wish to incorporate ethical considerations into their investment approach. Through our discretionary managed portfolio service, we offer two SRI portfolios that take a common-sense approach to SRI investment, by building portfolios designed to meet suitable screening criteria (which limits exposure to areas such as fossil fuels, gambling, animal testing and weaponry) whilst being as inclusive as possible. By way of example, a key position in our SRI strategies includes a fund that only holds companies that make a positive contribution to the Paris Agreement Climate Change goal.

We also appreciate some investors would prefer a sharper focus, and within their investment portfolio are keen to strictly limit any allocation to areas that could be harmful to the environment or society. We can build bespoke advisory investment portfolios for these clients, using rigorous quantitative screening processes and active engagement with leading fund managers, to meet a client’s ethical preferences.

 

What about mainstream investments?

Whilst SRI investment is a growing trend, most investors still wish to invest in a traditional strategy that does not take these further factors into account when making investment decisions. Adopting a mainstream investment approach does not, however, mean that the investment fund managers will ignore the impact of the actions that investee companies take, when it comes to environmental issues, or how they treat their employees. Indeed, Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) factors are a critical risk for any business, and fund managers – whether adopting a socially responsible investment approach or not – will look to take these risks into consideration when building their portfolio.

ESG criteria will assess how a company safeguards the environment, including corporate policies addressing climate change.  Social factors look to examine the company’s relationships with their employees, customers and suppliers. Governance issues cover areas such as a company’s leadership, executive pay and shareholder rights.

 

Avoiding controversies

The reason ESG factors are now a mainstream investment consideration when looking at the prospects for growth is that investors, consumers, and the companies with whom they do business, are looking at the way a business conducts itself. The risk that a business overlooks these key considerations, can lead to the potential for reputational and financial damage. These so-called “ESG controversies” can have a significant impact on the value of a company and lead to underperformance.

A good example of such an ESG controversy was the Volkswagen emissions scandal in 2015, when the company admitted installing defective devices to beat emissions tests. This led to significant reputational damage, financial penalties, and the cost of recalling millions of vehicles. Looking further back in time, the environmental impact of the Deepwater Horizon disaster caused BP’s shares to plunge in 2010. Other more recent examples of ESG controversies are Boohoo, who faced accusations of ill-treatment of employees, and both Alphabet (Google) and Meta (Facebook) have been fined by regulators for anti-competition and privacy concerns, respectively.

 

A change for good?

The increased potential for an ESG controversy to damage the financial prospects of a company is driving a change in culture within businesses across the World, and therefore any investor can take comfort in the fact that good business governance will take ESG considerations into account when formulating their strategy and approach. The same is true for investment managers. Sound investment planning is about assessing risk, and whilst active fund managers will routinely consider potential threats to a business from increased market competition, changes in trends and customer habits and new technology, it is clear that ESG factors cannot be ignored.

Adopting a socially responsible investment approach can aim to make a positive impact through investment choices made, but that does not necessarily mean that the risks associated with environmental, social and governance factors can be ignored by other investors, too.

Speak to one of our experienced financial planners here if you would like to discuss how your portfolio is positioned in respect of its’ social responsibility and how this aligns with your values.

Graphic of a house wrapped in ribbon held by a hand, representing the gifting of a house deposit

The financial pitfalls of gifting a deposit

By | Tax Planning

With mortgage rates hitting levels not seen in fifteen years, and house prices remaining close to record highs, taking the first step to owning property is becoming more difficult than ever for first-time buyers. Many find themselves under further pressure to purchase as a result of rising rents, which are increasing on the back of more expensive borrowing costs for landlords, and the general rise in the cost of energy, food and transport.

In this situation, parents and grandparents often take the view that gifting funds to younger family members, to help towards a deposit or provide assistance with other housing related costs, can be seen as an advance on a future inheritance.

 

The bank is open for business

The “Bank of Mum and Dad” is one of the UK’s largest lenders in terms of the value of gifts and loans arranged. According to data from Legal & General, around £9.8bn was gifted by the Bank of Mum and Dad in 2021 alone. The spike in mortgage rates, general increase in the cost of living, and high house prices is likely to drive the lending stream from the parental bank even higher this year. The trend of helping family with housing costs could be one of the factors behind the fastest ever drawdown from UK savings accounts. The Bank of England reported households withdrew a net £4.6bn from banks and building societies in the month of May, reversing a trend that has seen savings gradually increase over time.

We understand parents and grandparents are keen to provide assistance, and in many cases, the gifted funds can make a substantial difference to the prospects of a first-time buyer being able to secure a property, and also potentially taking out a smaller mortgage in the process. There are, however, a number of pitfalls that parents and grandparents need to consider before parting with their cash.

 

Tax considerations

Any gift – be it by way of a deposit for a house or for another purpose – could potentially be liable to Inheritance Tax. Each individual can make gifts of £3,000 per tax year and therefore a married couple could gift £6,000 of capital (plus £3,000 each from the previous tax year if not used) without any Inheritance Tax concerns. Any amount gifted above this exempted amount is treated as a Potentially Exempt Transfer (PET). Whilst no Inheritance Tax is due immediately, the person making the gift needs to live seven years from the date the gift is made, for the gift to fully escape Inheritance Tax.

Other than the annual gift exemption, when your child gets married, parents can provide a wedding gift of £5,000 each and grandparents can give £2,500 each, free from Inheritance Tax concerns. In addition, if you receive more income than you need to live on, you may be able to make regular gifts out of surplus income. The rules here are complex and we recommend seeking advice if you intend to start a regime of gifting out of excess income.

Depending on the source of the gifted funds, there may be other tax considerations, such as a potential Capital Gains Tax liability that could arise if shares or investments are sold to provide the funds, or an investment property is sold. It is important to recognise that any such liability will fall on the parent or grandparent who is making the gift.

 

Keep it in the family

Another pitfall is the potential for relationship or marital breakdown. Parental gifts are often provided to children who intend to purchase a property with a partner or spouse. It is important to consider what would happen in the event of relationship breakdown, which could potentially lead to the other party walking off with part or all of the value of the gift. Taking appropriate legal advice, and preparing a suitable Declaration of Trust that protects the value of the gift, could avoid this situation arising.

Parents and grandparents would also be well advised to consider the effect that unequal gifts could have on younger family members. Many are keen to treat family members equally, and this may be impossible at the time the gifted deposit is made. Furthermore, other family members may be too young to receive funds, or may not be in need of capital at the same time. This is where the use of Trusts can be helpful. By creating a Trust, family members can be named as beneficiaries and the Trustees can pass assets to them at the appropriate time. Trust planning does have a number of drawbacks and is, again, a complex area that often requires taking specialist financial and legal advice.

 

Looking after your interests

Whilst parents and grandparents often want to be generous in helping younger family members, we often find that their own needs and requirements are not properly considered. Parents need to carefully review their own financial needs in later life, and consider the impact that gifting funds could have on their ability to fund a comfortable retirement. It is also important to consider that the capital gifted will no longer be available to the parents or grandparents to cover any unexpected expenditure. As many will require some form of care in later life, gifting capital could reduce the level of care or support that can be afforded. It is worth remembering that it is unlikely that the recipient of the gift will be in a financial position to return the favour if funds are required.

 

Seek financial and legal advice

There are a number of financial and legal considerations that need careful thought before providing gifts or loans to family members to assist them to purchase a property. It is a good idea to seek legal advice to protect “family wealth” from a potential relationship breakdown, and also look at the implications the gift may have on any existing Will in place.

At FAS, we can provide assistance to parents and grandparents who wish to use their funds to help younger family members. We can advise on which assets are gifted, and the potential financial impact of any actions taken on their financial security.

Speak to one of our experienced advisers here to start a conversation.

benefits of active fund management - active and passive on blackboard

The benefits of active fund management

By | Investments

One factor to consider when choosing an investment approach, is to decide whether you are looking to follow an active or passive investment style. Active management involves the research and analysis of a target market by a team of analysts, and the decisions of management teams who build a portfolio of best ideas. The alternative approach is to invest passively, which aims to simply track the performance of an index.

Our view is that both investment management styles have features that make them attractive to investors. At face value, a passive investment approach is the most cost effective method, and also potentially offers greater diversification. There is, however, a cost to using only passive investments, which is the potential underperformance compared to an actively managed fund which outperforms the representative market and its’ peers. Given that active managers can often outperform the benchmark by several percentage points of performance each year, and potentially often achieve downside control through asset allocation, this makes quality active funds an attractive proposition.

 

A tale of two halves

The first half of 2023 sprang a surprise on many analysts, as passive investment strategies broadly performed well compared to active managed funds. Many were expecting 2023 to be a year when active managers could carve out additional returns by allocating their portfolios in the most appropriate positions; however, index investing, in particular in the US and Global markets, has seen positive returns so far this year.

The performance of a handful of global technology giants, including Apple, Microsoft, Amazon and Nvidia have largely been responsible for much of the Equities gains this year. The S&P500 index is a weighted index, where a greater proportion of the index is allocated to the largest companies, measured by their market capitalisation. Apple currently holds a 7.5% weight in the index, closely followed by Microsoft, at 6.8%. The next three largest, Amazon, Nvidia and Alphabet, represent a combined allocation of almost 10%, and as a result, close on a quarter of the index is made up of these five companies.

Given these facts, it is easy to see the reason for the strong performance in passive strategies. By simply holding a US index fund, you are allocating a quarter of your investment to the largest five stocks, which have all performed well so far this year. Indeed, the S&P “Equal Weighted” index, which assigns an equal proportion to each component of the index, has underperformed the headline weighted index by 10% over the year to date.

The strong performance of the tech giants has also influenced the performance of Global passive funds, as the US dominates the MSCI World Index (the broadest index of the largest global companies), representing 69% of the global index by weight.

The second half of 2023 could see a resurgence from active managers. There is much uncertainty about the trajectory of the US economy over coming months, with many economists expecting a mild recession. Much will depend on the actions of the Federal Reserve, who have performed admirably in the fight against inflation (indeed, with much more success than the Bank of England). US inflation has now fallen back to a 3% annualised rate, and economic data has been surprisingly resilient. Corporate earnings have also largely continued to beat expectations. This strength could, in turn, mean that the long awaited “pivot” from the Federal Reserve, that is to say, the point at which interest rates are cut, may be pushed back.

In these conditions, active managers, who have freedom to allocate their portfolio, can take a high conviction position in areas that are undervalued, potentially reaping rewards from this investment approach. If indices fail to make headway, there is no reason why a skilled manager or management team cannot generate additional returns by selecting the most appropriate portfolio of assets.

 

Our approach

Our investment approach has always been to blend passive and active management when building our portfolios. Passive funds provide good diversification across the widest range of positions, and given the lack of fund manager at the controls, tend to be cheaper. Active managers, on the other hand, can outperform through the selection of their portfolio of assets. Our Investment Committee regularly undertakes comprehensive due diligence on the performance of actively managed funds, and meets with leading fund managers across the industry. Through these focused sessions, we can gain a clear understanding of a manager’s strategy, style and approach, and how they have aligned their portfolio for the expected conditions.

Through our active fund management selections, we also look to select different investment approaches that complement each other. For example, some managers have a clear value bias, seeking out positions in mature companies that pay attractive levels of dividend income. Other managers are biased towards growth stocks, where managers often take a high conviction approach and construct a focused portfolio of relatively few positions. By combining these different styles, we add a further element of diversification and risk management.

 

Time to take stock

The first half of 2023 has seen passive strategies outperform; however, the remainder of the year could see active management styles back in favour. We suggest this is an ideal opportunity to take stock of an existing investment portfolio, or pension investment strategy, to see whether any changes are needed.

Speak to one of our experienced financial planners here to start a conversation.

Graphic of Measuring the impact of inflation

Measuring the impact of inflation

By | Investments

Inflation has hardly been away from news headlines over recent months. The cost of goods and services have been driven higher since late 2021, partly as a result of a hangover from the economic policies put in place to help the economy through the pandemic, and also by the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

The UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) annual rate reached a peak of 11.1% in October last year and has been steadily falling since that date (apart from an unexpected jump in February). The pace of disinflation has been slower than expected and the Bank of England have been forced to revise their year-end inflation forecast from 3.9% to 5.2%. It is worth reminding that the Bank of England CPI target is 2%, and as a result, inflation is likely to remain a focus for policy decision makers and investors for some time to come.

 

How Inflation measures are calculated

Whilst the concept of inflation is readily understood, we thought it would be interesting to take a look at how CPI is calculated, as the weighting in the index, and some of the component goods and services that make up the index, may raise an eyebrow or two.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reviews and updates the weights for its consumer price inflation “shopping basket” of goods and services each year, in line with international statistical guidance. This is an attempt to ensure that the basket is representative of the latest household expenditure patterns, and the ONS adds and subtracts items from the basket each year in an attempt to keep the basket of goods relevant. For example, in the latest review, Digital Compact Cameras, and a “non chart” CD purchased in store, were removed.

To fully reflect the wide range of goods and services that make up our economy, the basket of goods and services needs to be broad. That being said, a number of items that remain in the basket may be questionable. For example, in this digital age, it is perhaps surprising that the cost of recordable CD’s and DVD players, and the charge for DVD rental (if, indeed, this still exists?) still feature in the calculation. Likewise, another relic of the past, the cost of a directory enquiry entry, also remains. Another interesting entry in the basket are dating agency fees.

Each of the goods or services used in the calculation is assigned a weight in the index, which is adjusted regularly. The largest component is “Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels”, which accounts for 14.1% of the index by weight, followed by “Recreation and Culture” and “Restaurants and Hotels” which account for 13.8% each. Transport is the next largest at 13.7% by weight and perhaps surprisingly Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages only account for 11.9% of the index.

In May 2023, the rate of CPI stood at 8.7%, with the largest contributor to this change being the cost of Food and non-alcoholic beverages, which accounted for 2.08% of the annual increase. Housing, Water and Fuel contributed 1.79% and Restaurants and Hotels contributed 1.27%. Recreation and Culture and Transport, which are both larger components of the calculation, have risen at a slower rate, contributing 0.91% and 0.16% respectively.

 

Personal rate of inflation

Clearly, what we buy does not replicate the wide ranging basket of goods in the ONS calculation. The impact that inflation has on our own financial position will depend on your spending habits, which are unique, and the composition of your household expenditure will provide an indication of your personal rate of inflation. For example, a household that spends more than average on food and heating bills will potentially have a higher personal rate of inflation than a household that spends a greater proportion of income on public transport, hobbies or home maintenance.

 

Is your income inflation proof?

Whilst inflation has a variable impact depending on your personal rate of inflation, the impact can be cushioned if guaranteed income sources rise in line with inflation. For example, the triple lock guarantee on the State Retirement Pension led to a 10.1% increase in payments from April. Defined Benefit pensions in payment will have also increased, and in the case of schemes such as the NHS Pension Scheme and Teachers Pension, the pension payments increase in line with the full rate of CPI inflation. Other Defined Benefit pensions also increase in line with CPI, although for some schemes, the increase is capped at a maximum of 5% per annum. For those in retirement with an element of guaranteed income, the impact of higher inflation has, therefore, been reduced significantly. For those in employment, the ONS reported last month that average total pay increased by 7.2% in the year to April 2023, which was just behind the average rate of inflation over this period.

 

Offsetting the impact of inflation

Those generating an income from investments, will undoubtedly have found it difficult to keep pace with the rate of inflation over the last 12 months, irrespective of how your personal basket of goods and services are made up. Cash returns have certainly improved this year, although we would not be surprised to see the Bank of England taking action to reduce rates during 2024.

Generating an income through dividend and bond interest can be a useful way of limiting the impact of higher inflation, in particular if the income is generated in a tax efficient manner, for example through an Individual Savings Account (ISA).

Speak to one of our experienced advisers here to discuss generating an income from your investment portfolio.

Graphic of a red money box labelled 'My Pension Fund'

A boost for pension savings

By | Pensions

Amongst the announcements in the March Budget, was an overhaul in pension contribution allowances, which became effective from April. The new rules allow a higher level of contribution each tax year without incurring an excess tax charge and provide valuable planning opportunities for those wishing to boost their pension savings, and in turn improve their long-term financial security. Furthermore, the new rules also allow further accrual for those who have already accessed their pension flexibly.

 

The benefits of pension saving

It is worth revisiting why pension saving is such a crucial element of any long-term financial planning strategy. Firstly, your contributions receive a boost from tax relief. When you pay into a pension, you receive tax relief at your marginal rate on any regular or lump sum contributions you make. Secondly, in the case of a Defined Contribution pension, all growth within the plan is exempt from Capital Gains Tax and income received is also not liable to Income Tax or Dividend Tax. Finally, you usually have the option of taking up to 25% of the value of the pension savings as Tax Free Cash once you reach the age of 55 or above.

 

Annual allowance increase

The annual allowance, which is the maximum amount an individual can contribute to a pension in a tax year before being subject to a tax charge, has been increased from £40,000 to £60,000, with the change being effective from 6th April 2023.

The hike in the annual allowance significantly increases the scope for those working to make meaningful contributions each tax year. In the case of members of a Final Salary pension scheme who are higher earners, such as Doctors, Head Teachers and senior Civil Servants, this reduces the likelihood that their accrual in the scheme will breach the annual allowance.

For those with Defined Contribution arrangements, the new increased limit provides the opportunity to increase regular contributions, or boost pension savings through larger lump sum contributions. In addition to the new annual allowance of £60,000, the ability to carry forward unused pension allowances for the last three years remains. As a result, a contribution of up to £180,000 could potentially be made without being subject to a tax charge. This could prove very useful for a business owner or company director, who is looking to use pension contributions as a tax efficient method of drawing funds from their business, or individuals who receive a bonus or have lump sum savings.

 

Watch out for the tax traps

Whilst the annual allowance has been increased, the earnings cap remains. In other words, to get tax relief, your personal contributions cannot be any higher than your earnings in the tax year in question. The tapered annual allowance also remains in place, and higher earners need to beware of falling into this tax trap. This measure reduces the annual allowance from £60,000 to a minimum of £10,000, if an individual’s total income from all sources in the tax year exceeds £260,000. This is a complex area, and we always recommend that you speak to an adviser if you feel you are in danger of breaching the tapered annual allowance.

 

Help for retirees

In addition to the increase in the annual allowance, the money purchase annual allowance has also increased, from £4,000 to £10,000. Anyone who has accessed their pension savings flexibly is subject to the money purchase annual allowance for the remainder of their life. The previous limit of £4,000 was very restrictive and the more generous allowance now means that people who have flexibly drawn their pension can begin to accrue meaningful further pension savings.

This may be particularly useful for those who have taken early retirement and wish to return to employment, as they could potentially rejoin an auto-enrolment scheme or workplace pension provided by their employer, with less fear of breaching the money purchase annual allowance.

 

A tool for tax planning

As well as providing an income in retirement, pensions can also be a clever way of reducing the amount of income tax an individual pays in any one tax year. The bands at which Basic and Higher Rate tax are charged have been frozen since 2021, and the Additional Rate band, where income above this level is taxed at 45%, was reduced from £150,000 to £125,140 from April. Given that inflation is pushing wages higher, this creates an effect known as “fiscal drag”, where the exchequer receives more tax revenue due to the bands remaining static.

Personal pension contributions are a useful way of reducing the amount of income tax paid by an individual. The amount contributed has the effect of extending the tax bands, so that more of the income falls into a lower tax band. This is particularly important for those who fall into the tax trap where income is between £100,000 and £125,140. As the tax-free personal allowance (i.e. the amount an individual can earn before they pay income tax) is tapered above £100,000, the potential tax saving on pension contributions can be as high as 60%.

 

Always seek advice

The more generous allowances provided in the Budget earlier this year have increased the ability for individuals to save more into their pension, and in doing so, can help offset the impact of the frozen tax bands. There are, however, traps to catch the unwary, such as the tapered annual allowance and money purchase annual allowance, and we therefore always recommend individuals seek advice on the most appropriate way to contribute to a pension.

Please do get in touch here if you require pension planning advice from one of our experienced independent financial advisers.

Graphic showing dominoes with Union Jack on them standing up, and dominoes spelling out the word 'economy' falling down, alongside a spherical object with 'interest rates' printed on the side - representing interest rates negatively affecting the UK economy

Why the Bank is wrong to raise interest rates

By | Investments

It is fair to say that the latest base interest rate increase came as something of a surprise to market participants. The Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee raised the Base Rate by 0.50% to 5% last week, a much more significant hike than expected. For some time, we have voiced our concern at the speed of central bank tightening in an attempt to combat inflation. Following the latest move, and language used by Bank Governor, Andrew Bailey, we are becoming increasingly worried that the central bank’s actions are likely to heap more pain on the UK economy. This only reinforces the importance of global investing and the need to carefully consider how investment portfolios are positioned.

 

Forecasting track record

The Bank of England has come under fire from politicians over recent weeks, who have accused the Bank of using outdated models as a tool by which to set monetary policy. A cross-party group of MPs have called for an overhaul of forecasting methods, and the Bank itself has launched an external review of processes used to forecast market conditions.

To be frank, the Bank’s track record has been poor over the last year, which calls into question the decision taken to raise Base Rates by 0.50% last week, with the suggestion of even higher rates to follow. In November 2022, Andrew Bailey predicted that the UK economy would face the longest recession since records began, with no growth being registered during 2023 and the first half of 2024. Unemployment was also predicted to rise to 6.5% at the time.  Fast forward six months, and Bailey made an abrupt about turn, and forecast that the UK would not enter recession during 2023. Indeed, GDP growth projections were increased for both 2024 and 2025, in the “biggest ever upgrade” to published data.

The Bank has also badly mis-judged the speed at which inflation is falling. In February, the forecast year-end inflation rate was 3.9%, and Bailey explained to the Treasury Select Committee that “there are powerful downward forces on inflation now, and I think we have turned the corner”; however, this prediction was short-lived, and the year-end inflation rate was revised to 5.2% in May, just three months later.

Given the bank’s recent track record, we are again concerned that the Bank’s forecasting is inaccurate and have raised rates too far in a bid to re-assert its’ credibility in terms of financial forecasting.

 

Trying to regain credibility

It is apparent that the Bank of England were far too slow in curtailing the extraordinary support put in place during the Covid-19 pandemic. It is worth reflecting that just 19 months ago, the Base Rate stood at 0.1% and the Bank of England were printing money at a rate of £20 billion a month through Quantitative Easing. At this point, the first signal that inflation was rising was evident in data published at the time, and in the Bank’s own forecast in November 2021, inflation was expected to peak at 5% in April 2022 before falling back.

When the Russian invasion of Ukraine caused energy and food prices to surge, the Bank should have raised rates more aggressively and got “ahead of the curve” in economic speak. Shutting the stable door after the horse has bolted is unlikely to achieve the desired result, and we feel that the further rate hike announced last week are simply not warranted and could potentially lead to a situation where the Bank is forced into yet another embarrassing turnaround. This view is reinforced by the poor forecasting track record seen over recent months.

We feel the Bank should focus on the time lag between policy actions and the impact these have on the economy. This is known as Response Lag, and economists believe that it can take as much as 18 months for a change in interest rates to achieve the desired outcome. Whilst the Bank assert that the increase last week was necessary to bring inflation back to the target rate of 2%, the policy decision could put the UK economy into stall speed. This could result in inflation falling below the target and force the Bank to quickly unwind the rate hikes over recent months to avoid the UK falling deeper into recession. The UK housing market, under some stress at the current time, is likely to be a key indicator, given the impact falling house prices can have on consumer confidence.

 

Importance of global investing

Initial market reaction to the hike in UK Base Rates has been muted. There has been little impact on Bond markets, as UK Government Bonds have already priced in further hikes to come. After an initial spike immediately after the vote announcement, Sterling has also given back some ground against the Dollar. This is, perhaps, an indication that currency traders feel the Bank is losing its’ credibility in fighting inflation.

The likely impact of the unwarranted hikes in the Base Rate serves as a timely reminder that investors should take a global approach to investing. Whilst inflation remains sticky in the UK, inflation is falling at a faster pace in Europe and the US. Japan’s inflation rate is just over 3%, which is the highest level seen in Japan this century and a welcome change from the deflationary conditions of the last 20 years.

Diversification across a range of assets remains a key component of any successful portfolio strategy, and in periods when cash returns look appealing, it is worth reflecting on the strong performance seen from Equities markets over the first half of the year, and the prospect that Equities can provide both capital appreciation and income through dividends. There are attractive opportunities in global Bond markets, too.

Speak to one of our experienced financial planners here if you would like to discuss how your portfolio is positioned.

Graphic of pile of cryptocurrency with a graph line across it

Cryptocurrencies – a timely reminder of the risks

By | Investments

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has recently repeated the warning that investors in cryptocurrency should “be prepared to lose all their money” whilst introducing new rules covering the marketing of crypto assets. We feel this is an appropriate time to highlight the risks associated with cryptocurrencies and why even tighter regulation is likely and warranted.

 

Tighter restrictions

As part of a package of measures announced by the FCA, crypto firms will, in future, need to ensure that investors have appropriate knowledge and experience to invest in cryptocurrencies before making a purchase. In addition, promotions will need to carry clear risk warnings and any advertising will have to be clear, fair and not misleading. Marketing techniques, such as the offering of bonuses to refer friends will be banned. Finally, from 8th October 2023, individuals who purchase a cryptocurrency for the first time will be provided with a “cooling off” period, to allow them to change their mind about the purchase for a short period after the order has been placed.

Westminster is also keen to see further regulation in the industry. The UK Parliament Treasury Committee called in March 2023 for so-called “unbacked” crypto tokens, i.e. those whose value is not represented by a physical holding in currency such as US dollars, to be regulated in the same way as gambling.

 

Wider reach of Crypto

Investing in cryptocurrencies has become increasingly popular in the UK, which we feel underlines the importance of the FCA’s announcement. In a survey by Kantar for H M Revenue and Customs in 2022, 10% of UK adults said they hold or have held a crypto asset (this equates to just under 5 million UK citizens). The majority of those questioned said that they had bought crypto currency and have never sold any of their holding. Of those surveyed, 53% of current owners had holdings valued up to £1,000, with 7% holding more than £5,000 in value. Of those surveyed, 76% of holders were under the age of 45, showing the increased uptake of crypto assets by younger investors.

 

Regulators tighten their grip

Global financial regulators have shown concern over the increasing popularity and reach of cryptocurrencies. In 2021, a comprehensive International Monetary Fund report concluded that cryptocurrencies offer some opportunities for decentralised finance but underlined a number of risks to global financial stability, which include the potential that episodes of poor confidence in crypto assets could spread to mainstream assets, and the risk that cyber security breaches and lack of oversight could disrupt the currently unregulated market. Recent news from the US has added to the notion that the regulators are, perhaps, finally ready to increase regulation.

The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) have recently filed lawsuits targeting two of the world’s largest crypto exchanges – Binance and Coinbase. These relate to alleged rule breaches covering the trading of crypto assets that were not registered as securities by the exchanges. This includes popular tokens such as Cardano and Polygon.

The Commission’s actions have come amidst stark warnings from regulators. SEC Chair Gary Gensler commented that “the entire crypto industry business model is built on non-compliance” and the recent moves are perhaps the clearest signal yet that US regulators’ stance is shifting.

Whilst consumer protection is clearly a high priority, another key reason regulators are keen to introduce tighter restrictions is the lack of Anti-Money Laundering and other due diligence checks carried out on investors. As a result, it is widely believed that many cryptocurrency transactions are illicit. The UK National Crime Agency estimate that over £1bn of illicit cash is transferred overseas each year using crypto and coin exchanges are often used by money launderers.

 

Increasing risk of fraud

Whenever clients talk about cryptocurrencies, our response has always been the same – investments in cryptocurrencies are unregulated and carry significant risk of total loss of the investment.

It is the unregulated element that concerns us the most. Unlike regulated investments, where investors do have some protection offered under the Financial Services Compensation Scheme if something goes wrong, cryptocurrencies are unregulated, potentially leaving investors without recourse if an investment fails, or funds disappear due to fraud or malpractice. There have been a number of high-profile reports where coin wallets have been stolen by cyber fraudsters and according to research carried out by Chainalysis, hackers stole a record $3.8bn worth of cryptocurrency in 2022. Numbers as large as these only serve to highlight the risks of investing in cryptocurrencies.

 

Will regulatory oversight be effective?

Regulators around the world are slowly starting to make moves to bring crypto assets under closer scrutiny. We feel the FCA announcement is welcome and as part of the Cryptoasset Taskforce, the FCA aim to work with the Bank of England and Treasury to further assess the potential impact of crypto assets in the UK and with international partners, look to increase co-ordination on regulating cryptocurrencies on a global scale.

We expect to see much greater efforts to regulate crypto assets over coming months and years, as crypto becomes increasingly mainstream, in particular with younger investors. Even if tighter regulation is bought in, we feel the FCA’s reminder of the risks is timely and worth repeating.

Speak to one of our experienced financial planners here if you would like to discuss the above further.

estate planning written on a mini whiteboard with leaves next to it - Inheritance Tax receipts rise again

Preserving Family Wealth

By | Tax Planning

As we get older, our financial priorities often begin to shift, and many start to consider preserving the wealth they have accumulated during their lifetime for the next generations.  It is only natural that we would want to leave family wealth to those who mean the most, and in the most tax efficient way possible. It is easy to forget that accumulations of wealth through salary or earnings have already been taxed on receipt, and with assets above the Inheritance Tax nil rate band subject to a tax charge of 40%, this can lead to a significant reduction in the value of the net estate.

 

Inheritance Tax receipts rise again

The main band for Inheritance Tax remains at £325,000, which is the level it has been set at since 2009, and this band will remain at this level until 2028 at the earliest. As asset values grow, more estates are becoming liable to Inheritance Tax, and it was of little surprise to see the HMRC data for April, which showed that Inheritance Tax receipts reached £597m for the month of April alone, an increase of £90m on the same month last year. Inheritance Tax receipts now account for a growing proportion of the overall Tax take, with the Office of Budget Responsibility predicting the Treasury will collect £45bn in Inheritance Tax over the next 6 years.

There are, however, steps you can take to mitigate the liability to Inheritance Tax on your potential estate and with careful planning, greater sums of family wealth can be passed on to the next generation. As holistic financial planners, we take the broadest view of a client’s financial circumstances, and conversations with clients about potential Inheritance Tax concerns and estate planning are a feature of the regular ongoing reviews we conduct. By starting conversations early, appropriate mitigation can be put in place in time so that hard-earned wealth can be preserved for family members.

 

The importance of seeking advice

We often see clients for the first time, who haven’t given any consideration to Inheritance Tax planning. With rising house prices, increasing wealth through investment and surplus income receipts and inheritance they may themselves receive in the future, clients are often surprised at the amount of Inheritance Tax that could be payable on their death. Naturally, clients will often have more significant financial priorities to attend to in mid-life, such as saving to provide a retirement income, paying off existing debts, or covering the costs of University for their children. As clients get older, however, conversations about wealth preservation generally become more focused, and we work with clients to set in place a financial plan to tackle the potential tax liability.

It is very important to seek professional advice and guidance on an ongoing basis to make the most of any Inheritance Tax mitigation and avoid any potential issues that mitigation could cause. For example, making gifts of assets to children and grandchildren is a perfectly rational strategy to consider; we, however, have seen cases where clients have decided to make large gifts to family at an early stage in retirement, without considering the longer-term implications. They then find themselves in need of capital that now isn’t available to them, as the capital has been gifted and spent. Likewise, we have come across individuals who have put in place complicated -and often costly – arrangements that may not be effective for Inheritance Tax mitigation.

Finally, it is important not to leave Inheritance Tax planning too late in life, as this can limit the range of options available. This is where regular financial planning reviews can assess the need to consider Inheritance Tax planning as circumstances and objectives change over time.

 

Keeping actions taken under review

Another complication of this type of planning is the potential for changes in legislation to impact on Inheritance Tax planning that has already taken place. Of course, any advice can only work within the existing set of tax legislation, and we, like everyone else, are peering into the darkness in trying to determine what the rules will look like in years to come. Given the increasing relevance Inheritance Tax receipts now have as part of the overall Treasury revenue, it is fair to say that any reduction in the amount of Inheritance Tax received would need to be found through alternative taxation. For this reason, we look to plan ahead with clients, and as part of a wider financial planning strategy, can include solutions that aim to provide Inheritance Tax mitigation, but can also be altered if tax rules change in the future.

 

The value of planning ahead

The latest figures from HMRC are a stark reminder of the amount of tax received from families, where planning and taking appropriate steps could potentially have reduced the tax burden faced by the next generation. We provide advice to many families, where two, three or four generations of the same family are clients or have been clients during their lifetime. As those clients have benefitted from ongoing holistic advice, we have undoubtedly saved clients many millions of pounds in Inheritance Tax that would otherwise have been payable. That is the value obtained by seeking advice and planning ahead.

 

Our experienced holistic financial planners can help you consider estate planning as part of a wider financial review.  Contact us here to start a conversation.

Graphic of houses falling through the sky with percentage marks on them, representing falling house prices - prospects for property investment

The prospects for property investment

By | Investments

It is fair to say that most of the UK economy is faring better than expected over the year to date, confounding the doom-laden predictions of the Bank of England and International Monetary Fund, who have both upgraded their forecasts for the performance of the UK economy over the remainder of 2023.

Whilst our economy may be performing better than expected, house price growth has come under pressure, and it is becoming increasingly evident that central bank policy is having a detrimental impact on the UK housing market. Whilst house prices have historically proved resilient in the teeth of the economic impact of Brexit and the Covid-19 pandemic, we have highlighted the likely issues that the housing market will face in the short and medium term in previous Wealth Matters, and evidence is now growing that prices may continue to fall during the remainder of the year.

 

Weak data all round

Nationwide’s latest house price index reading, released last week, showed that house prices fell at their fastest pace in almost 14 years in May. The survey showed that house prices contracted by -3.4% in May compared to the same period last year.

Other data announced last week underlined the headwinds facing the housing market. The number of mortgages approved for April fell to the lowest level since February, and gross mortgage lending for April was 25% lower than the six-month average. Finally, households reduced overall mortgage debt by £1.4bn in April, the highest net repayment since records began in 1993, if you exclude the pandemic period. Taking in the round, it is clear that higher interest rates are impacting on family finances, and potential borrowers are finding mortgage affordability more difficult. Of course, it isn’t just mortgage costs that have become more expensive, higher energy, fuel and food costs have a cumulative impact on already stretched household budgets.

 

Why the housing market matters

You may well question why house prices matter when considering the economic outlook. Whilst rampant house price inflation has implications in terms of social mobility, falling house prices over a sustained period may have a detrimental impact on the wider economic performance. When house prices begin a sustained fall, individuals are aware of a drop in the value of their main asset, and therefore feel worse off. This can see a decline in spending and a higher level of saving and raise the prospect of negative equity for those who have bought recently. In turn, higher default rates can impact on the performance of the banking sector. In addition, there are a spectrum of industries that would be directly affected by a slow housing market, such as construction, legal services, and household goods.

 

Why are interest rates increasing?

The Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee have increased interest rates at twelve successive meetings, raising the base rate from 0.1% to 4.5%, as the Committee use monetary policy tools to try to tame higher inflation, which spiked last year on the back of higher costs caused by the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and a hangover from the Covid pandemic. Data indicates that UK inflation is falling, however so-called Core inflation – which excludes volatile energy and food prices – remains stubbornly high. It is therefore possible that we may see at least one further increase to the base rate over coming months, as the Bank of England’s latest forecast still sees inflation above target by the end of the year.

We have been concerned for some time that central banks could push the tightening cycle too hard, and force inflation below target over the medium term. A prolonged slump in house prices would undoubtedly impact on economic growth and could increase the chance of inflation undershooting. This highlights the delicate balance the Monetary Policy Committee have to try and achieve. Indeed, two members of the Committee, Silvana Tenreyro, and Swati Dhingra, have consistently warned against raising rates too aggressively at successive meetings, and we will watch minutes of forthcoming meetings to see if more of the Committee take a dovish view.

 

The impact on markets

We have seen the impact of higher interest rates on global markets over the last 18 months, with Bond markets coming under significant pressure. There is potential for prolonged weakness in the housing market to play a central role in dictating interest rate policy, and bring about a more rapid fall in base interest rates as we head through the next 12-18 months. This would be welcome news to fixed interest investors, but also to Equities markets as companies should find it easier to service existing debts and fund expansion when interest rates are lower. This is particularly relevant to companies that are growing rapidly, such as those in newer industries, for example Technology.

 

Property as an investment

From a financial planning perspective, residential property investments can be a useful diversifier, and property investors have generally enjoyed capital appreciation together with rental income over recent years. With the likelihood that property prices will stagnate at best, or possibly see modest falls over the next twelve months, this may be a good time for those investing in property to consider the rates of return they are achieving. In addition to the financial considerations, landlords should also be considering the cost and additional work involved in meeting new regulations, and also the potential that a future government could introduce measures that have a detrimental impact on returns.

As holistic financial planners, we can undertake a comprehensive review of your assets and consider your wider objectives and requirements. Speak to one of our experienced financial planners here if you invest in property and are considering diversifying your portfolio and income stream.

Graphic of a series of cogs reading 'Rules', 'Standards', 'Policies', 'Regulations', and 'Compliance' - Explaining Consumer Duty

Explaining Consumer Duty and how this enforces the benefits of independent advice

By | Financial Planning

Firms have until 31st July 2023 to fully implement the Consumer Duty requirements for new and existing products and services. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) introduced the new requirements last year and undoubtedly these are significant pieces of regulation that aim to improve how firms serve their clients.

In recent years, the FCA has considered several provider services and products unfit for purpose because they fail to provide fair value, ongoing support or exploit customer loyalty. To combat this, the FCA’s Consumer Duty aims to create a significant shift in culture and behaviour to ensure all firms offer a higher standard of care for its clients.

 

Underpinning principles

The underpinning principles of the new regulations set out how the FCA expects firms to act. In essence, a firm must act to deliver good outcomes for retail clients by acting in good faith and supporting them in pursuit of their financial objectives. The FCA wants to see these new principles applied to products and services, price and value, consumer understanding and consumer support. When designing a product or service, providers should also avoid negative barriers and anything that could impact on a consumer experience such as exit penalties or unreasonable terms that may make it difficult for a client to move to an alternative provider in the future.

 

FAS Consumer Duty analysis

Whilst it may be labour intensive and somewhat consuming at times, we welcome any regulatory change that raises the bar within our industry, which has come a long way over the past 20+ years. Far too often, we still hear and read about poor consumer experiences where clients have perhaps been “sold” a dubious product or service, have been charged an extortionate fee or are continuing to pay for a service they do not receive.

At FAS, good client outcomes are at the core of our everyday operations, and we are confident that the depth of what we do here is way above the industry standard. So, we hope it will come as no surprise to you that having undertaken a fair assessment of the services we provide in line with the new Consumer Duty regulations, incorporating the Concepts Discretionary Managed Portfolio Service, it has been comfortably demonstrated that FAS does indeed provide fair value and good outcomes for its clients. Furthermore, we will be reviewing the services we provide each year to ensure that this continues.

As part of our Due Diligence, we will also be monitoring the platforms and product providers we recommend to our clients to make sure they too meet all the new Consumer Duty requirements for clients.

 

Independent v Restricted

As many of you will know, there are two types of financial adviser, an independent adviser and a restricted adviser. At FAS, we choose to be completely independent so that we can research and recommend financial products spanning the whole of the market. In doing so, our advice is unbiased and unrestricted which contrasts with a restricted firm where advisers are limited to certain products from certain providers. In some cases, restricted advisers can only recommend products from a single company, which in our opinion is not providing a comprehensive service to clients or good value.

We are very proud of our independence, and the ability to recommend the most appropriate product or service from across the marketplace helps us to achieve our aim of providing the best advice to clients. By being independent, we can also aim to provide good value for money, by being able to access potentially more cost-effective options from across the industry.

 

Client awareness of restrictions?

Consumer Duty throws a shadow over a restricted advice service, and we wonder how such firms are faring with this regulatory review. Consumer Duty requires firms to demonstrate that they are providing good outcomes for clients, and value for money. There is a greater emphasis on the need for clients to understand the precise nature of the service they are receiving so we would be interested to know what percentage of restricted advice clients truly understand the restrictions they are faced with and the impact these can have.

By not being able to select funds from across the marketplace, this can dampen investment returns from the chosen investment funds, as a single fund house or manager is unlikely to be “best of breed” in all areas of the market. We have undertaken own our analysis and research of fund performance of the in-house funds offered by firms offering a one-stop shop and discovered that in many cases fund performance over the long term can be disappointing. Also, despite the restricted nature of the advice, clients opting for a restricted service may not receive good value for money, as fund solutions and management fees may be higher than those charged by firms that are independent.

We believe Consumer Duty gives independent firms such as FAS a distinct advantage and as our day-to-day operations focus on providing a responsive, independent advice service, we feel confident that our business easily meets the requirements of the new regulations.

If you have any questions regarding our internal review or any other matter relating to your financial arrangements, please do get in touch here.